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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Parma logo

Genoa
1 - 0
Parma

Frendrup (65')
Badelj (4'), Kasa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valenti (7'), Hernani (36'), Pecchia (39'), Del Prato (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Parma
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Parma

Serie A's most improved defence hosts the league's second-worst back line, so Genoa should shut Parma out and secure maximum points. One goal could decide the outcome at Marassi, where the home side are set to finally celebrate their first league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawParma
41.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 26.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 31.59% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.112 -0.11)53.55% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)75.06% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.102 -0.1)25.3% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.141 -0.14)60.07% (0.144 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)67.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 41.8%
    Parma 31.59%
    Draw 26.6%
GenoaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.59%

How you voted: Genoa vs Parma

Genoa
69.0%
Draw
31.0%
Parma
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Parma
0-1
Genoa

Keita (36'), Haj Mohamed (41')
Pinamonti (80')
Leali (27'), Zanoli (54'), Ekhator (60'), Vasquez (82'), Balotelli (90+1')
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-0
Genoa
Benedyczak (32'), Vazquez (53' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
3-3
Parma
Frendrup (16'), Hefti (42'), Coda (51' pen.)
Badelj (27'), Gudmundsson (40'), Bani (63')
Gudmundsson (90+2')
Inglese (21'), Mihaila (37'), Estevez (89')
Vazquez (23'), Juric (45'), Coulibaly (53'), Circati (90+4')
Mar 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Parma
1-2
Genoa
Pelle (16')
Bani (19'), Pezzella (57'), Pelle (72'), Brugman (78'), Kucka (90+5')
Scamacca (50', 69')
Ballardini (58'), Radovanovic (73'), Biraschi (84')
Nov 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Genoa
1-2
Parma
Shomurodov (50')
Badelj (77'), Bani (84')
Gervinho (10', 47')
Busi (58'), Karamoh (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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