Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
41.81% (![]() | 26.61% (![]() | 31.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% (![]() | 53.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% (![]() | 75.06% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.07% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% (![]() | 31.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% (![]() | 67.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.91% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.64% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |