Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Genoa |
53.55% ( -0.1) | 24.17% ( 0.02) | 22.28% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% ( 0.01) | 49.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% ( 0.01) | 71.84% ( -0.01) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0.03) | 18.54% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% ( -0.06) | 49.79% ( 0.06) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( 0.09) | 36.96% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( 0.09) | 73.75% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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