Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Genoa3 - 0Hellas Verona
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 39% | 25.76% | 35.23% |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% | 49.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% | 24.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% | 26.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.73% | 62.26% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 39%
Hellas Verona 35.23%
Draw 25.75%
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.23% |
