Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 5 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Juventus 2-1 Fiorentina
The only thing consistent about Fiorentina is their inconsistency, so it is unclear which shade of Viola will turn up in Turin. That notwithstanding, Juventus are growing closer to full strength in terms of personnel and have begun coming to terms with their points penalty - it is the Old Lady who will come out on top, then. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
49.83% ( 4.31) | 24.14% ( -0.85) | 26.02% ( -3.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( 1.44) | 46.28% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( 1.34) | 68.57% ( -1.34) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( 2.37) | 18.62% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.07% ( 3.84) | 49.92% ( -3.84) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -1.84) | 31.75% ( 1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.82% ( -2.16) | 68.17% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.57)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.7)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.68)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.02% |
