Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
49.83% ( 4.31) | 24.14% ( -0.85) | 26.02% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( 1.44) | 46.28% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( 1.34) | 68.57% ( -1.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( 2.37) | 18.62% ( -2.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.07% ( 3.84) | 49.92% ( -3.84) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -1.84) | 31.75% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( -2.16) | 68.17% ( 2.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |