Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 3Juventus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Juventus should have gained confidence from their victory against Lazio in the Coppa Italia last week, and we can envisage their poor league form coming to an end on Tuesday. However, Salernitana finally returned to winning ways themselves last time out, and they will certainly make life difficult for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
22.59% ( 0.06) | 23.83% ( 0.15) | 53.57% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.57) | 48.14% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.52) | 70.3% ( 0.53) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.26) | 35.72% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.27) | 72.49% ( 0.27) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.29) | 17.9% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.5) | 48.69% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Salernitana 22.59%
Juventus 53.56%
Draw 23.83%
| Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.56% |
How you voted: Salernitana vs Juventus
Salernitana
19.6%Draw
10.9%Juventus
69.6%184
