Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals

Jan 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
4 - 0
Frosinone

Milik (11' pen., 38', 48'), Yildiz (61')
Locatelli (20'), Kostic (32'), Gatti (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 2-1 Frosinone

Juventus have never lost to Frosinone in Serie A, winning six of seven league encounters, and they are not likely to be beaten in midweek. Despite eliminating Torino and Napoli from the Coppa Italia, the Canarini's away record makes for grim reading, so their talented kids surely cannot cope with rejuvenated Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Frosinone
63.11% ( -0.57)	21.22% ( 0.35)	15.67% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96% (

-1.1)

47.04% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72% (

-1.03)

69.28% (

1.03)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.73% (

-0.52)

14.27% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.94% (

-1.03)

42.05% (

1.03)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.22% (

-0.37)

42.77% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9% (

-0.32)

79.1% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Juventus 63.11%

Frosinone 15.67%

Draw 21.22%

Juventus	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.11%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22%	0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.67%