Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Feb 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 4
Bayern

Correa (49')
Alberto (28'), Leiva (51'), Correa (57'), Marusic (65'), Escalante (69')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Lewandowski (9'), Musiala (24'), Sane (42'), Acerbi (47' og.)
Kimmich (72'), Coman (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.45%) and 1-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
35.53%	22.13%	42.34%

Both teams to score 68.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.32%

31.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.81%

53.18%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32%

18.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98%

50.02%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19%

15.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.03%

44.97%

Score Analysis

Lazio 35.53%

Bayern Munich 42.34%

Draw 22.13%

Lazio	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-3 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 2.95% 3-3 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.42% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.89% Total : 42.34%