Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2022 at 7.50pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 2Napoli
We said: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
The influence of 'Sarri-ball' lives on, as both sides favour an attractive, possession based style which should make this clash of two southern rivals a pleasure to watch. Napoli (84%) and Lazio (82%) have posted the highest passing accuracy in the opposition half throughout Serie A this season, so expect some intricate patterns to be woven in a high-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
| 32.56% | 25.16% | 42.28% |
| Both teams to score 56.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% | 69.36% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.93% | 63.07% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% | 22.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.33% | 55.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 32.56%
Napoli 42.28%
Draw 25.15%
| Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.28% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli
Lazio
29.4%Draw
27.9%Napoli
42.6%136
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Apr 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
5-2
Lazio
Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Dec 20, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Napoli
3-1
Lazio
