Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.