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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Fiorentina logo

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
31.54% (0.302 0.3) 25.11% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 43.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.209 0.21)28.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.264 0.26)64.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.142 -0.14)21.81% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.217 -0.22)55.02% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 31.54%
    Fiorentina 43.34%
    Draw 25.11%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese
13.3%
Draw
30.0%
Fiorentina
56.7%
30
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
0-4
Udinese

Gonzalez (49'), Torreira (59'), Maleh (90+4')
Mari (12'), Deulofeu (36'), Walace (90+1'), Udogie (90+5')
Nuytinck (16'), Deulofeu (49'), Makengo (55'), Udogie (80')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Udinese
0-1
Fiorentina

Arslan (45+2'), Walace (53')
Vlahovic (16' pen.)
Martinez (17'), Amrabat (70'), Odriozola (90+6')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Udinese
1-0
Fiorentina
Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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