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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Fiorentina logo

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
31.54% (0.302 0.3) 25.11% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 43.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.209 0.21)28.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.264 0.26)64.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.142 -0.14)21.81% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.217 -0.22)55.02% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 31.54%
    Fiorentina 43.34%
    Draw 25.11%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese
13.3%
Draw
30.0%
Fiorentina
56.7%
30
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
0-4
Udinese

Gonzalez (49'), Torreira (59'), Maleh (90+4')
Mari (12'), Deulofeu (36'), Walace (90+1'), Udogie (90+5')
Nuytinck (16'), Deulofeu (49'), Makengo (55'), Udogie (80')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Udinese
0-1
Fiorentina

Arslan (45+2'), Walace (53')
Vlahovic (16' pen.)
Martinez (17'), Amrabat (70'), Odriozola (90+6')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Udinese
1-0
Fiorentina
Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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