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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Napoli logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli

Lovric (13')
Ehizibue (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Napoli

Having stormed through most of the season at an incredible pace, Napoli have been off the boil in recent weeks and now lack the same intensity. That does not diminish their feat of claiming a first Scudetto since the days of Diego Maradona, and they can celebrate doing so with a ninth straight away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
22.99% (0.101 0.1) 24.71% (0.113 0.11) 52.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.345 -0.34)51.32% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.302 -0.3)73.15% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.099 -0.1)73.9% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.217 -0.22)19.6% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.357 -0.36)51.54% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 22.99%
    Napoli 52.29%
    Draw 24.71%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.99%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.29%

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
Draw
Napoli
Udinese
9.5%
Draw
12.2%
Napoli
78.2%
147
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 17
Udinese
1-2
Napoli
Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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