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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Napoli logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli

Lovric (13')
Ehizibue (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Napoli

Having stormed through most of the season at an incredible pace, Napoli have been off the boil in recent weeks and now lack the same intensity. That does not diminish their feat of claiming a first Scudetto since the days of Diego Maradona, and they can celebrate doing so with a ninth straight away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
22.99% (0.101 0.1) 24.71% (0.113 0.11) 52.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.345 -0.34)51.32% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.302 -0.3)73.15% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.099 -0.1)73.9% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.217 -0.22)19.6% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.357 -0.36)51.54% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 22.99%
    Napoli 52.29%
    Draw 24.71%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.99%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.29%

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
9.5%
Draw
12.2%
Napoli
78.2%
147
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 17
Udinese
1-2
Napoli
Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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