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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 1
Como


Hainaut (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espeto (79')
Kempf (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Parma
Monday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 27 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Parma 1-1 Como

Having both adapted to Serie A after being promoted together last term, these sides could share the spoils for a second time this season. While Como are full of confidence, the Tardini has recently become more of a fortress, meaning Parma should pick up at least one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Parma had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Como in this match.

Result
ParmaDrawComo
25.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 23.86% (-0.298 -0.3) 51.12% (0.316 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.946 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (1.264 1.26)45.91% (-1.266 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (1.188 1.19)68.22% (-1.19 -1.19)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.663 0.66)32.37% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.742 0.74)68.88% (-0.744 -0.74)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (0.59999999999999 0.6)17.98% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (1.024 1.02)48.84% (-1.027 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Parma 25.02%
    Como 51.12%
    Draw 23.86%
ParmaDrawComo
1-0 @ 6.57% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.02%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.126 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.12%

How you voted: Parma vs Como

Parma
Draw
Como
Parma
18.4%
Draw
39.5%
Como
42.1%
38
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 8
Como
1-1
Parma
Paz (45')
Roberto (60')
Bonny (20')
Sohm (31'), Mihaila (67')
Feb 24, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Como
1-1
Parma
Verdi (24')
Da Cunha (40'), Goldaniga (87')
Benedyczak (3')
Estevez (89'), Hernani (90')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Parma
2-1
Como
Man (8'), Charpentier (74')
Bernabe (50'), Circati (87')
Barba (90+2')
Abildgaard (7'), Curto (20')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 30
Como
2-0
Parma
Cerri (5'), Arrigoni (53')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Parma
1-0
Como
Del Prato (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna351614553381562
8Fiorentina351781053351859
9AC Milan351691055391657
10Como35129144548-345
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3589183651-1533
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
20Monza3529242563-3815


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