Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 1Como
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Como
Although Como have proven to be tricky opponents on home turf, they have recorded just one win from their last 10 away fixtures. Under the bright lights of San Siro, it remains to be seen whether the Lariani can produce their very best, so Milan may lean on their greater experience to pick up maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Como |
60.73% ( -0.56) | 20.97% ( 0.21) | 18.3% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.4) | 41.32% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.41) | 63.72% ( 0.41) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( -0.29) | 13.17% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.59) | 39.87% ( 0.59) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.15) | 36.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.07% ( 0.15) | 72.93% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 60.73%
Como 18.3%
Draw 20.97%
| AC Milan | Draw | Como |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.3% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Como
AC Milan
91.6%Draw
8.4%Como
0.0%95
Head to Head
