Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 2Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 8-2 Salernitana
Sunday, January 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 15 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Serie A top scorers Napoli have recorded the most goals during the first half of games this season (21), while Salernitana have conceded the most in the opening 45 minutes (19). Given these sides' most recent league outings, that suggests the hosts can build a lead they will not relinquish and top up their tally with another three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
13.79% ( -0) | 17.72% ( -0.01) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( 0.06) | 56.91% ( -0.06) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.03) | 37.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.47% ( 0.03) | 74.53% ( -0.03) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0.02) | 9.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.04) | 31.35% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Salernitana 13.79%
Napoli 68.49%
Draw 17.72%
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.49% |
How you voted: Salernitana vs Napoli
Salernitana
11.6%Draw
5.8%Napoli
82.6%86
Form Guide
