Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
2 - 2
Cremonese

Jesus (33'), Simeone (36')
Zerbin (61'), Jesus (90+2')

FT
(aet)

Pickel (18'), Afena-Gyan (87')
Vasquez (29'), Okereke (45+5'), Quagliata (59'), Meite (90+3'), Sernicola (90+7'), Valeri (93')

Napoli win 4-4 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 5-1 Juventus
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cremonese 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Even with a rotated squad, Napoli can pose plenty of problems for a side struggling at the wrong end of Serie A, and they should add a Coppa Italia victory to their growing pile of wins in a remarkable campaign. Booking a quarter-final clash with southern rivals Roma, the Partenopei can exploit Cremonese's defensive deficiencies to cruise through to the final eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.1%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%).

Result
Napoli	Draw	Cremonese
61.1% ( 0.35)	19.37% ( -0.03)	19.53% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 63.71% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.37% (

-0.37)

31.63% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.87% (

-0.44)

53.13% (

0.44)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.88% (

-0.02)

10.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.71% (

-0.05)

33.29% (

0.05)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.53)

29.12% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.65)

65.04% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Napoli 61.1%

Cremonese 19.53%

Draw 19.37%

Napoli	Draw	Cremonese
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.37%	1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 19.53%