Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Bologna |
31.64% ( -0.06) | 26.94% ( -0.02) | 41.42% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.16% ( 0.06) | 54.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.86% ( 0.05) | 76.14% ( -0.05) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.01) | 32.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.02) | 68.49% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( 0.07) | 26.09% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( 0.09) | 61.14% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
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