Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 0Sampdoria
We said: Empoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Empoli have found form at a good time and look set to move away from trouble, but their recent poor record against Samp may linger in the memory. The visitors need to find results from somewhere or they will soon find themselves an unassailable distance away from safety, and a defeat here could be very costly for Stankovic. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Empoli.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
46.83% ( 0.98) | 26.04% ( 0.22) | 27.13% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
