Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
41.37% | 24.59% | 34.04% |
Both teams to score 58.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.85% | 44.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.47% | 66.53% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% | 54.38% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% | 25.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% | 59.96% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 8.84% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |