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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Cremonese

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Lauriente (26'), Frattesi (41'), Bajrami (90+2')
Zortea (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dessers (62', 83')
Afena-Gyan (44'), Vasquez (87'), Benassi (90+7'), Pickel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Cremonese

Having finally ended their drought, Cremonese will now be seeking a first away victory of their league campaign - however, despite recent improvements, they have conceded at a rate of nearly two goals per game on the road. Sassuolo are also looking a lot more like their old selves, so can be expected to post a fourth win in six games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCremonese
48.88% (-0.413 -0.41) 24.31% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.81% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.291 0.29)46.42% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.273 0.27)68.7% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)19.06% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.47300000000001 0.47)31.21% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.546 0.55)67.55% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 48.88%
    Cremonese 26.81%
    Draw 24.31%
SassuoloDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Cremonese

Sassuolo
79.5%
Draw
11.5%
Cremonese
9.0%
122
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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