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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Cremonese

Napoli
3 - 0
Cremonese

Kvaratskhelia (21'), Osimhen (65'), Elmas (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vasquez (13'), Aiwu (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Cremonese

Separated by some 48 points before kickoff, these sides come from different stratospheres, and a repeat of January's cup shock is unlikely this week. Indeed, Napoli are set to take maximum points with another clinical performance, leaving Cremonese winless and rooted to the foot of Serie A's standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCremonese
75.72% (-0.34299999999999 -0.34) 14.77% (0.131 0.13) 9.51% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.76% (0.419 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.55% (0.070999999999998 0.07)32.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.91% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)7.13% (0.052899999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.03% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)25.96% (0.138 0.14)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81% (0.484 0.48)43.18% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55% (0.402 0.4)79.44% (-0.402 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 75.71%
    Cremonese 9.51%
    Draw 14.77%
NapoliDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 10.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.45% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.24% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 75.71%
1-1 @ 6.83% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.77%
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.59% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.51%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cremonese

Napoli
87.9%
Draw
5.5%
Cremonese
6.6%
91
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Napoli
2-2
Cremonese
Napoli win 4-4 on penalties
Jesus (33'), Simeone (36')
Zerbin (61'), Jesus (90+2')
Pickel (18'), Afena-Gyan (87')
Vasquez (29'), Okereke (45+5'), Quagliata (59'), Sernicola (90+7'), Meite (90+3'), Valeri (93')
Sernicola (100')
Oct 9, 2022 5pm
Cremonese
1-4
Napoli
Dessers (47')
Zanimacchia (17')
Politano (26' pen.), Simeone (76'), Lozano (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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