Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
3 - 0
Cremonese

Kvaratskhelia (21'), Osimhen (65'), Elmas (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vasquez (13'), Aiwu (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Separated by some 48 points before kickoff, these sides come from different stratospheres, and a repeat of January's cup shock is unlikely this week. Indeed, Napoli are set to take maximum points with another clinical performance, leaving Cremonese winless and rooted to the foot of Serie A's standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Cremonese
75.72% ( -0.34)	14.77% ( 0.13)	9.51% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.55% (

0.07)

32.45% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.91% (

0.08)

54.09% (

-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.87% (

-0.05)

7.13% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.03% (

-0.14)

25.96% (

0.14)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81% (

0.48)

43.18% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55% (

0.4)

79.44% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Napoli 75.71%

Cremonese 9.51%

Draw 14.77%

Napoli	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 75.71%	1-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.77%	1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.51%