Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
2 - 1
Roma

Tsadjout (17'), Ciofani (83' pen.)
Ferrari (12'), Bianchetti (52'), Sernicola (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Spinazzola (71')
El Shaarawy (74'), Ibanez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-2 Cremonese
Monday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Salzburg
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite becoming victims of Cremonese's giant-killing cup run earlier this month, Roma are not likely to suffer the same fate again in midweek. An abundance of attacking talent complements the visitors' steely defensive resolve under Mourinho, so they will prolong their hosts' long wait for a league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Roma
20.83% ( 0.01)	23.34% ( -0.01)	55.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

0.05)

48.07% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76% (

0.05)

70.24% (

-0.05)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61% (

0.04)

37.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.82% (

0.04)

74.18% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.02)

17.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

0.03)

47.2% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 20.83%

Roma 55.83%

Draw 23.33%

Cremonese	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.83%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 55.83%