Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
38.97% ( 0) | 27.85% ( 0) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.08% ( -0.01) | 57.92% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.37% ( -0) | 78.62% ( 0) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( -0) | 28.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( -0) | 64.77% ( -0) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
9 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | Como | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |