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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Cremonese

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Cremonese

Lazovic (9', 26')
Kallon (23'), Djuric (63'), Verdi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Castagnetti (31'), Sernicola (54'), Lochoshvili (73'), Okereke (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Cremonese

Buoyed by their impressive performance against Juve, Cremonese can finally end their drought by beating the only side sitting beneath them in the Serie A standings. The visitors will be able to catch Verona out at least once, and now have the discipline to get three points over the line at long last. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawCremonese
40.25% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 25.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 33.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)50.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77% (-0.032 -0.03)72.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)24.64% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)59.15% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 40.25%
    Cremonese 33.79%
    Draw 25.95%
Hellas VeronaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese

Hellas Verona
36.0%
Draw
25.2%
Cremonese
38.7%
111
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
Third Round
Hellas Verona
1-2
Cremonese
Empereur (7')
Veloso (49')
Castagnetti (90'), Deli (102')
Ravanelli (34'), Soddimo (76'), Renzetti (77')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Cremonese
1-1
Hellas Verona
Mogos (13')
Strizzolo (21'), Claiton (47'), Carretta (80'), Castagnetti (82')
Di Carmine (18' pen.)
Empereur (43'), Faraoni (85')
Nov 2, 2018 8pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Cremonese
Caracciolo (3')
Caracciolo (18'), Ragusa (32'), Cisse (50')
Arini (31')
Greco (57'), Croce (64'), Piccolo (86')
Aug 24, 2014 7.30pm
Round Three
Hellas Verona
3-0
Cremonese
Toni (50'), Moras (61'), Christodoulopoulos (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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