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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Lecce logo

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Lecce


Amione (33'), Duricic (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colombo (45+1'), Banda (83')
Umtiti (45'), Gonzalez (57'), Askildsen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Sampdoria
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Lecce

With confidence growing in the camp - after coming close to holding Juventus, then taking four points from their next two games - Lecce arrive at Marassi more in expectation than just hope, and that may be rewarded. Neither side has built much rhythm in the final third this term, so the points should be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawLecce
35.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 27.63% (-0.064 -0.06) 36.51% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.92% (0.194 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.24 0.24)56.87% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.192 0.19)77.79% (-0.193 -0.19)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.13900000000001 0.14)30.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.166 0.17)66.43% (-0.167 -0.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.13800000000001 0.14)29.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (0.167 0.17)65.94% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 35.85%
    Lecce 36.51%
    Draw 27.63%
SampdoriaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.51%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Lecce

Sampdoria
44.3%
Draw
30.9%
Lecce
24.7%
97
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 30, 2019 8pm
Sampdoria
1-1
Lecce
Ramirez (92')
Ekdal (28'), Ferrari (56'), Vieira (75'), Depaoli (76')
Lapadula (8')
Petriccione (43'), Tachtsidis (45'), Meccariello (54')
Tachtsidis (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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