Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
35.85% ( 0.03) | 27.63% ( -0.06) | 36.51% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% ( 0.24) | 56.87% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% ( 0.19) | 77.79% ( -0.19) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 0.14) | 30.26% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( 0.17) | 66.43% ( -0.17) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.14) | 29.86% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( 0.17) | 65.94% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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