Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Lecce

Amione (33'), Duricic (37')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Colombo (45+1'), Banda (83')
Umtiti (45'), Gonzalez (57'), Askildsen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Sampdoria
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

With confidence growing in the camp - after coming close to holding Juventus, then taking four points from their next two games - Lecce arrive at Marassi more in expectation than just hope, and that may be rewarded. Neither side has built much rhythm in the final third this term, so the points should be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Lecce
35.85% ( 0.03)	27.63% ( -0.06)	36.51% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13% (

0.24)

56.87% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21% (

0.19)

77.79% (

-0.19)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

0.14)

30.26% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

0.17)

66.43% (

-0.17)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

0.14)

29.86% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

0.17)

65.94% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 35.85%

Lecce 36.51%

Draw 27.63%

Sampdoria	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.51%