Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
35.79% ( 0.05) | 26.74% ( 0.09) | 37.47% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( -0.39) | 53.32% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.33) | 74.87% ( 0.32) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( -0.16) | 28.56% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% ( -0.19) | 64.36% ( 0.19) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( -0.27) | 27.57% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% ( -0.35) | 63.09% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |