Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
35.79% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% (![]() | 53.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% (![]() | 74.87% (![]() |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% (![]() | 28.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% (![]() | 64.36% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% (![]() | 27.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% (![]() | 63.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 12.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 10.14% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |