Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
31.95% ( 0.06) | 27.22% ( 0) | 40.83% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.01) | 55.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% ( 0.01) | 76.93% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( 0.05) | 32.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( 0.06) | 68.81% ( -0.06) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.03) | 26.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.04) | 62.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |