Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli0 - 1Bari
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Bari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 0-1 Ascoli
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Venezia
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Bari |
40.64% ( -0.33) | 28.96% ( 0.09) | 30.4% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.08% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.63% ( -0.24) | 62.36% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( -0.18) | 82% ( 0.17) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.31) | 30.12% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.74% ( -0.38) | 66.26% ( 0.37) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.05) | 36.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.05) | 73.71% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 40.63%
Bari 30.4%
Draw 28.94%
| Ascoli | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.4% |
How you voted: Ascoli vs Bari
Ascoli
40.0%Draw
20.0%Bari
40.0%5
