MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:39:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cagliari logo
Serie B | 1st Leg
May 30, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Parma logo

Cagliari
3 - 2
Parma

Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie B clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Venezia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Parma

 The two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they locked horns at the home of Cagliari earlier this season, and we can see the same result in this match. The league table shows that there is hardly anything to choose between them, and we are expecting this semi-final to be incredibly tight across the two legs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
46.93% (0.441 0.44) 26.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.55% (-0.436 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (-0.241 -0.24)55.52% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.197 -0.2)76.7% (0.196 0.2)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.10300000000001 0.1)23.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (0.149 0.15)57.75% (-0.149 -0.15)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)36.27% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (-0.503 -0.5)73.06% (0.503 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.92%
    Parma 26.55%
    Draw 26.52%
CagliariDrawParma
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.55%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Parma

Cagliari
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Parma
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
Apr 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Parma
0-0
Cagliari

Cornelius (90+3')

Oliva (25')
Feb 1, 2020 5pm
gameweek 22
Cagliari
2-2
Parma
Pedro (19'), Simeone (54')
Cigarini (69'), Nandez (77'), Nainggolan (87')
Kucka (42'), Cornelius (90')
Darmian (34'), Gagliolo (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa1393125111430
2SassuoloSassuolo1384125121328
3SpeziaSpezia137601981127
4Cesena136342218421
5Cremonese135351817118
6BariBari133821511417
7Palermo134541311217
8Brescia135261820-217
9Juve StabiaJuve Stabia134541316-317
10Mantova134451215-316
11CatanzaroCatanzaro132921311215
12Sampdoria134361618-215
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza134631313014
14Modena133551819-114
15Reggiana133551315-214
16Carrarese133461115-413
17Salernitana133461318-513
18SudtirolSudtirol134181420-613
19Cittadella13337619-1312
20FrosinoneFrosinone13175818-1010
> Serie B Full Table


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