Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Parma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palermo 2-1 SPAL
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 2-0 Brescia
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Parma in this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Parma |
31.54% ( -3.97) | 26.25% ( 0.15) | 42.21% ( 3.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
