Serie B | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi
Carrarese2 - 0Cesena
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Carrarese and Cesena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrarese | Draw | Cesena |
43.41% ( 0.32) | 29.1% ( 0.08) | 27.49% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.42) | 63.78% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.97% ( -0.3) | 83.03% ( 0.3) |
| Carrarese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.03) | 29.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.78% ( -0.04) | 65.22% ( 0.04) |
| Cesena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( -0.58) | 40.06% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.29% ( -0.54) | 76.71% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Carrarese 43.4%
Cesena 27.49%
Draw 29.09%
| Carrarese | Draw | Cesena |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.49% |
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 7.30pm
