Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
