Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Livorno win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.