Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena2 - 0Pisa
Tremolada (4'), Strizzolo (90+4')
Palumbo (51'), Zaro (66')
Palumbo (51'), Zaro (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Pisa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Pisa |
42.28% ( -0.18) | 28.96% ( 0.03) | 28.76% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.14% ( -0.03) | 62.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.63% ( -0.02) | 82.37% ( 0.02) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.12) | 29.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.14) | 65.43% ( 0.15) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.11) | 38.48% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.77% ( 0.11) | 75.23% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 42.28%
Pisa 28.76%
Draw 28.94%
| Modena | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 28.76% |
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Pisa
4-2
Modena
Gliozzi (45+3' pen.), Torregrossa (74', 90+9' pen.), Masucci (82')
Bonfanti (19'), Magnino (84')
