Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
-0.64) 
0.74) 
