Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.