Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.