Serie B | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL0 - 2Frosinone
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Frosinone.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 SPAL
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 3-4 Parma
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Frosinone |
30.79% ( 0.52) | 25.47% ( 0.03) | 43.73% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% ( 0.11) | 49.15% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( 0.1) | 71.22% ( -0.1) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.42) | 29.72% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0.51) | 65.79% ( -0.51) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.21) | 22.42% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0.31) | 55.94% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 30.79%
Frosinone 43.73%
Draw 25.47%
| SPAL | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.73% |
How you voted: SPAL vs Frosinone
SPAL
26.1%Draw
4.3%Frosinone
69.6%23
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Frosinone
2-0
SPAL
Caso (47'), Mazzitelli (87')
Szyminski (19')
Szyminski (19')
Dec 18, 2021 3.15pm
May 4, 2021 1pm
