Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benevento 1-2 Venezia
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 3-4 Bari
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | SPAL |
43.68% ( 0.39) | 26.37% ( 0.05) | 29.95% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0.38) | 53.18% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.32) | 74.74% ( 0.32) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.03) | 24.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.49% ( 0.04) | 58.52% ( -0.04) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.51) | 32.38% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.58) | 68.89% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
Venezia 43.68%
SPAL 29.95%
Draw 26.36%
| Venezia | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.95% |
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 5, 2021 6pm
Dec 19, 2020 5pm
Venezia
0-0
SPAL
Fiordilino (17'), Capello (37'), Bocalon (64'), Svoboda (66'), Magnus Karlsson (90+1'), Forte (90+2')
