Serie B | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa3 - 0SPAL
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rauti (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Como
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
54.4% ( -0.54) | 25.53% ( 0.07) | 20.07% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.25) | 57.33% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.2) | 78.16% ( -0.2) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.12) | 21.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.18) | 53.98% ( 0.19) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0.67) | 43.52% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.27% ( 0.55) | 79.73% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 54.39%
SPAL 20.07%
Draw 25.53%
| Genoa | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.07% |
