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SPAL logo
Serie B | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Lecce logo

SPAL
1 - 0
Lecce

Espeto (79')
Tomovic (40'), Valoti (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coda (47'), Lucioni (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawLecce
38.13%23.81%38.06%
Both teams to score 62.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1%39.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74%62.26%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07%53.93%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02%53.98%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 38.13%
    Lecce 38.06%
    Draw 23.81%
SPALDrawLecce
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 24
Lecce
2-1
SPAL
Mancosu (41' pen.), Majer (66')
Majer (16'), Deiola (43'), Calderoni (45'), Lapadula (62')
Petagna (47')
Di Francesco (20'), Bonifazi (40'), Valdifiori (61'), Valoti (90')
Dec 4, 2019 5pm
Fourth Round
SPAL
5-1
Lecce
Julio (18'), Paloschi (24'), Murgia (31'), Cionek (45'), Floccari (84')
Missiroli (8'), Murgia (28')
Imbula (55')
Imbula (49')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
SPAL
1-3
Lecce
Di Francesco (17')
Julio (70')
Mancosu (11' pen., 73'), Calderoni (47')
Babacar (6'), Calderoni (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa7421129314
2SpeziaSpezia7340117413
3Brescia7403118312
4SassuoloSassuolo733187112
5Cesena7322129311
6Palermo732286211
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia732277011
8Cremonese7313108210
9Mantova7313911-210
10BariBari72329729
11Reggiana72327709
12SudtirolSudtirol73041012-29
13Modena7223101008
14Sampdoria72239908
15Salernitana7223910-18
16Cittadella722356-18
17CatanzaroCatanzaro714256-17
18FrosinoneFrosinone7133613-76
19Cosenza CalcioCosenza72327705
20Carrarese7115612-64


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