Serie B | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 0Lecce
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Lecce.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Lecce |
| 38.13% | 23.81% | 38.06% |
| Both teams to score 62.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% | 62.26% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.02% | 53.98% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 38.13%
Lecce 38.06%
Draw 23.81%
| SPAL | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.06% |
