Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 59.78%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-2 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
