Serie B | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 3Lecce
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Lecce.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Lecce |
| 34.38% | 25.5% | 40.11% |
| Both teams to score 55.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% | 70.37% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% | 23.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.06% | 57.94% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 34.38%
Lecce 40.11%
Draw 25.5%
| SPAL | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.38% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.11% |
How you voted: SPAL vs Lecce
SPAL
40.0%Draw
60.0%Lecce
0.0%5
