Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.