Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match.
