Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.