Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
