Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
