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[monks data]
Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 24, 2021 at 7pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Stoke logo

Barnsley
2 - 0
Stoke

Styles (9'), Dike (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Batth (8'), Obi Mikel (76'), Powell (90+1')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barnsley and Stoke City square off in the Championship on Wednesday evening with just goal difference separating the two playoff-chasing clubs.

While the Tykes are unbeaten in their last five fixtures in the second tier, the Potters have recently got back on track with successive home victories.


Match preview

Barnsley manager Valerien Ismael pictured in October 2020© Reuters

In the weeks after the turn of the year, Barnsley's promising form under Valerien Ismael started to unravel, creating the prospect of the remainder of the campaign being spent in mid-table.

Three successive victories for the loss of just one goal have changed the club's trajectory, however, and they will now feel that they can challenge for the playoffs.

Sitting just six points adrift of fifth-placed Reading with a game in hand, Ismael knows that the Tykes are within touching distance of becoming a major player in the promotion race, a remarkable change in fortunes after narrowly avoiding relegation in July.

Ismael will stress that his players should be taking one match at a time, but he can only have been left feeling positive after the impacts made by January arrivals Carlton Morris and Daryl Dike.

Morris has netted in three successive games, an important contribution with top goalscorer Cauley Woodrow having failed to score in five appearances.

Stoke City's Nick Powell celebrates scoring their second goal on February 20, 2021© Reuters

As far as Stoke are concerned, Michael O'Neill will be relieved that his side have rallied to claim successive wins against Sheffield Wednesday and Luton Town.

One win in 13 second-tier fixtures had left the Potters as outsiders for the top six, but they now trail Bournemouth by just four points with 15 matches remaining.

Although both of Stoke's recent triumphs have come at the bet365 Stadium, they now travel to Yorkshire believing that they can finally end a near three-month wait for an away victory.

Nick Powell and Steven Fletcher have scored Stoke's last eight goals, a period stretching back until the closing stages of their 3-3 draw at Rotherham United on January 19.

Barnsley Championship form: LDDWWW
Barnsley form (all competitions): DDLWWW

Stoke City Championship form: LDDLWW


Team News

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in October 2020© Reuters

O'Neill is expected to keep changes to a minimum after Stoke performed well against Luton on Saturday.

Sam Clucas or James McClean could replace Josh Tymon on the left, but Fletcher should shake off a knock to remain in attack.

Morris will almost certainly earn a recall to the Barnsley XI, likely taking the place of Dike.

With Ismael having recently spoken about rotating his defenders, Toby Sibbick is an alternative to Michael Sollbauer.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Walton; Andersen, Helik, Sibbick; Brittain, Palmer, Mowatt, Styles; Morris, Woodrow, Chaplin

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Smith, Batth, Souttar, Norrington-Davies; Allen, Thompson; Brown, Powell, Clucas; Fletcher


SM words green background

We say: Barnsley 1-1 Stoke City

While both teams will be confident of earning maximum points at Oakwell, they will also be wary of gifting their opponents an edge in the race for the playoffs. With that in mind, expect a low-scoring contest in Yorkshire, one which could end in a draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Barnsley vs Stoke

Barnsley
51.8%
Draw
28.2%
Stoke City
20.0%
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Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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