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Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 1
Stoke

Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')

Preview: Millwall vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City head into Saturday's Championship fixture at Millwall looking to bounce back from defeats to Sheffield United and Bournemouth.

While the Potters currently sit in seventh position in the standings, their 11th-placed opponents will move level with them with victory at The Den.


Match preview

Stoke City's manager Michael O'Neill pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

On the back of successive defeats to two high-profile clubs, Michael O'Neill will not be panicking about the trajectory of his Stoke squad.

However, regardless of the Potters remaining a win away from fourth spot, they have now prevailed in just three of their last nine league games.

Goals are the biggest issue, a record not helped by O'Neill persevering with a system which places far more onus on defence than attack.

While those tactics were good enough to overcome West Bromwich Albion before the international break, there is a feeling that O'Neill needs to be more versatile to get the best out of a talented crop of players.

Tyrese Campbell was the big plus in midweek after making his first outing since a serious knee injury, but the forward will not be rushed into the spotlight after 10 months on the sidelined.

Millwall's Jake Cooper celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Millwall performed better than their next opponents in their showdown with Sheffield United, the Lions netting a last-minute winner to claim a 2-1 victory at Bramall Lane.

The East Londoners have now recorded three triumphs in four games, a run of form which has catapulted Gary Rowett's team into 11th spot.

Like with his former club, Rowett has been left craving more goals from his Milwall side, but they deserve huge credit for conceding just seven times in nine games.

With none of the top six to come until November 24, Rowett will feel that Millwall are capable of moving into the playoff mix by the time that they host leaders Bournemouth.

Millwall Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Millwall form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Rowett is likely to recall either Matt Smith in place of goalless forward Tom Bradshaw.

Maikel Kieftenbeld should come into the Millwall XI as a replacement for George Saville, who is suspended after collecting his fifth yellow card of the season.

With Nick Powell going off injured in midweek, O'Neill may take the opportunity to hand another chance to Sam Surridge.

Mario Vrancic is also an option in central midfield with Sam Clucas having been ruled out of this contest.

Despite his error in midweek, goalkeeper Adam Davies is likely to retain his place ahead of Joe Bursik.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Ballard, Hutchinson, Cooper; Leonard, Evans, Kieftenbeld, Malone; Wallace, Smith, Ojo

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Wilmot, Souttar, Chester; Smith, Vrancic, Allen, Thompson, Tymon; Brown, Surridge


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

If ever a game looks like a low-scoring draw, this has to be it, right? With both teams performing better in defence than in attack, we are predicting a competitive share of the spoils in East London.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
38.4%
Draw
43.8%
Stoke City
17.8%
73
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Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in December 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
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3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
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