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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Aytac Durak Tesisleri
Istanbul Basaksehir

Adana Demirspor
0 - 1
Istanbul

FT(HT: 0-1)
Davidson (32')
Crespo (19'), Opoku (22'), Kemen (45+2'), Ozdemir (73'), Sengezer (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-2 Kasimpasa
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Adana Demirspor 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Although Adana Demirspor have performed admirably over the past fortnight, Basaksehir are favourites for this encounter due to their historical dominance and superior quality. Given the recent form of both sides, this promises to be a closely contested clash – however, we are predicting a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
32.72% (0.214 0.21) 23.93% (0.19 0.19) 43.35% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-0.836 -0.84)41.43% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.85 -0.85)63.82% (0.852 0.85)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.274 -0.27)24.7% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.386 -0.39)59.25% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)19.36% (0.515 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (-0.849 -0.85)51.15% (0.852 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 32.72%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.35%
    Draw 23.93%
Adana DemirsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.72%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.179 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Istanbul

Adana Demirspor
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Istanbul Basaksehir
50.0%
8
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Adana Demirspor
2-6
Istanbul
Aydogan (37' pen.), Mendoza (88')
Piatek (5', 13', 68'), Ozcan (40'), Davidson (44'), Figueiredo (90+1')
Turuc (36'), Ergun (36')
Jan 6, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 19
Istanbul
0-0
Adana Demirspor
Abeid (44'), Ilkhan (53'), Ba (82')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Adana Demirspor
2-3
Istanbul
Stambouli (8'), Morel (48')
Rodrigues (32')
Paulin Keny (10', 86'), Figueiredo (26')
Januzaj (74')
Jan 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Istanbul
2-1
Adana Demirspor
Turuc (52' pen.), Gurler (62')
Akaydin (58')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 30
Adana Demirspor
2-1
Istanbul
Talha Sanuc (38'), Bjarnason (80')
Akgun (45+3'), Balotelli (74')
Aleksic (48')
Ndayishimiye (28'), Cigerci (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce18133245182742
3Samsunspor18113432181436
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1894537231431
5EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
6BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul187562925426
8GaziantepGaziantep187472526-125
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor185763024622
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor185761921-222
12KasimpasaKasimpasa184952430-621
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor186392137-1621
14KonyasporKonyaspor185582128-720
15SivassporSivasspor185582128-720
16KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1822141538-235


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